Predictions for 2021 – Opinion

Predictions by their nature are not facts – they are really opinions.  I made no predictions this time last year for 2020 and the predictions for 2019 posted a year earlier got about 8 right out of 12.  So take the predictions below with a grain of salt – except for death and taxes, the future is never certain. To predict what’s going to happen, the only facts you can rely on are what has happened up till now. So based on what I’ve seen in 2020,

I think that in 2021 we can expect:

Covid-19

  1. Cobourg will go back to Yellow zone January 23
  2. Most people in Cobourg will be able to get a vaccine shot by July.
  3. Most groups will continue to use Zoom or similar for a good part of 2021
  4. Most if not all restrictions will be lifted in the Fall of 2021 (I’m an optimist)

Council and Town

  1. The Beach will be open in summer but with restrictions
  2. More of the parking near the beach will be paid
  3. The Marina and Trailer Park will be in full operation for their whole seasons
  4. Victoria Hall will be closed until late Summer and the Concert Hall for the whole year
  5. Transit will be free until summer and a Micro-Transit trial will start early in the year
  6. There will be more public concern about Climate Change
  7. There will be more activity on affordable housing
  8. The Tannery project will once again stay stalled
  9. The owner of the Park Theatre will apply for a demolition permit in 2021.
  10. The Woodlawn will open as a rehabilitation centre late summer.

Events

  1. No Float your Fanny down the Ganny (web site here)
  2. No Highland Games – although it is currently planned – Web site here
  3. No Waterfront Festival – Web site here
  4. There will be a Canada Day celebration in Victoria Park but no parade
  5. No events in Concert Hall this year (that’s what the draft budget says)
  6. There will be no major events (e.g. Concerts) in the CCC in 2021 but will be otherwise open with restrictions
  7. Sand Castle Festival will be virtual (already announced)
  8. There will be a Santa Parade in November although it will be smaller than usual

Economy & Politics

  1. Cobourg House prices will start to fall in Spring – current prices here.
  2. More Downtown retail stores will close although more service businesses will open.
  3. Nothing much will happen at the Mall although Starbucks will open.at the new plaza and Giant Tiger will open in the Spring.
  4. There will be a Federal election before Fall.

Hopefully I’m wrong on some of the negative ones – I’m sure there’s a wide range of opinions on many of them.

But irrespective of any of this, I wish everyone a Happy New Year.  I would say better than 2020 – but for most, that will be a sure thing.

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24 Comments
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Gerinator
1 January 2021 1:25 pm

Same time next year John, lets compare the facts with the predictions/estimates. AND of course you win nothing.

Sandpiper
1 January 2021 11:23 am

I noticed there is No prediction on the New 110 Jobs plus construction work for the New Holiday Inn on Depalma Dr. Rumor has it there are No services Left
This possibly the same reason Vandyke could not afford to go forward

JimT
Reply to  Sandpiper
1 January 2021 3:16 pm

“Rumor has it there are No services Left…”
Services? What kind of services? What does that comment mean anyway?

Ahewsonator
Reply to  JimT
1 January 2021 5:54 pm

It wouldn’t be a topic on here if Sandpiper or Cornbread didn’t make some kind of incomprehensible, unsubstantiated comment.

Perplexed
Reply to  Sandpiper
3 January 2021 11:15 am

I will bet you that 80 % of the Nay sayers
Are people with Govt jobs or teaching
Types with great pensions never to have relied 100 % on self employment income s
To support their families
Thus you can forget them with a comfy conscious

Sandpiper
1 January 2021 9:42 am

The Political Propaganda will come at us fast and furious
ALL IS WELL back to a sort of Norm
Postponed Mortgages and loans will come due ??
Self Employed Families will have a much harder time unless they are in the Trades
All those friends and business that went under financially will be long forgotten
The Govt will through away new $$$ for start ups of new business of which 40% never survive
But we can dream .
Trudeau has added nothing to the Seniors or disabled Pension incomes in 5 yrs and more will slip into poverty as the cost of everything is increasing

The Feds just increased the Employer / Employee contributions More cost to employ and less to take home and the Feds have added a growing green / carbon tax to drive away industry
But we may have the Cure !

RUSSELL G HILDER
1 January 2021 9:19 am

I certainly hope that the vaccine for those of us over 70 will be available much sooner then July. April would be nice.

Wally Keeler
Reply to  RUSSELL G HILDER
1 January 2021 2:52 pm

I’d love a spring shot as well, but, given the incompetence of our Prime Panda Hugger, it’s highly likely not to happen.

Canada’s Vaccine Delays Latest in ‘Pandemic Management Failures,’ Says Drug Company Exec Behind H1N1 Vaccine Rollout (theepochtimes.com) “Canada’s “slow-off-the-mark efforts” to negotiate the purchase of COVID-19 vaccine supply from global pharmaceutical companies has left Canadians waiting on the priority list behind other countries such as Spain, Mexico, Indonesia, India, Germany, and the U.K.”

Ken Strauss
Reply to  Wally Keeler
1 January 2021 4:21 pm

Incompetence is only a part of the problem. Justin has promised that countries less fortunate than Canada will also be looked after so I assume that he plans to share whatever vaccine doses we receive. In November (copying Bono) he opined: “‘Where you live should not determine whether you live.”

Last edited 23 days ago by Ken Strauss
JimT
Reply to  Ken Strauss
1 January 2021 7:02 pm

— 26. There will be a Federal election before Fall.

Wally Keeler
Reply to  JimT
1 January 2021 9:16 pm

And then we will find out just how incompetent the Canadian people may be..

Informed
Reply to  Ken Strauss
1 January 2021 7:16 pm

And 9 months later he finally decided that we should test people coming into the airports in Canada. We still wouldnt be testing at Airports if Premier Ford hadnt pushed for it.

Ken Strauss
Reply to  Informed
1 January 2021 9:07 pm

But testing won’t start until next Thursday. And quarantines are still not enforced.

Susie-Q
Reply to  Informed
1 January 2021 9:52 pm

Let’s hope it really does happen and not just be lip service. Let’s not forget that there will be an election in the near future. His promises will be flowing until then.

Frenchy
Reply to  Susie-Q
1 January 2021 10:13 pm

Q, you mean the cash will be flowing until then. That’s going to garner him a lot of votes.

George Taylor
Reply to  Frenchy
3 January 2021 8:07 am

HOPEFULLY the public as a whole will SEE through the DEBT, T*****O has put us in, next election! (IT WILL BE LUCKY, if our Grandkids will be able to at least PAY THE INTEREST DOWN on the HOLE he has put us in?

Kyle
Reply to  Informed
2 January 2021 5:27 pm

The borders are and have been a joke. The only people not crossing are the “honest” people who are actually trying to save people. There are thousands in our border cities crossing daily ( not talking about nurses working in US) who just lie that they are “essential” and do not have to quarantine, isolate, test or anything.

Informed
Reply to  Kyle
2 January 2021 5:47 pm

Im more concerned with international travelers coming into the airports. JT didnt test travellers entering here sooner as he is more concerned with offending people from other countries and being labelled racist.Same reason he dresses up in costumes of the countries he visits.

CiW
1 January 2021 8:54 am

Any predictions re Sidbrook?

Informed
31 December 2020 1:42 pm

I enjoyed reading the predictions for 2021. The only one i think may fall short is the prediction on house prices. I think prices will increase further do to increase demand from the West,low interest rates and more pent up demand due to the current lockdown.Vaccines coming down the pipe and increased consumer optimism will bode well for strong demand which will outstrip supply. A balanced market would be a better scenario im sure.

Liz Taylor
Reply to  Informed
1 January 2021 9:19 am

With Vandyke dropping out and no new contractor housing supply will be low here so I wouldn’t be surprised if the prices rise despite gloomy reports of job loss and greatly rising COVID numbers.
Edit – 10:09 – also Cobourg has failed to implement like Toronto the 1% tax penalty for vacant homes allowing investors to purchase and leave the place empty until they get the price they want no matter how long it takes.
Sandpiper I just said they dropped out lessening supply to chase those dollars.

Last edited 23 days ago by Liz Taylor
Sandpiper
Reply to  Liz Taylor
1 January 2021 9:49 am

If this Town didn’t drive the cost of Development through the roof and Burden Builders
with Infrastructure cost that were previously over looked and undersized .
plus the cost of carrying taxes , Mortgages , fees , applications , etc for 4 to 6 yrs
before they developer gets an approval Which all get passed along to the Consumer
We might have more developers looking here and home just might be more affordable

AMC
Reply to  Sandpiper
1 January 2021 10:31 am

Agreed!!

ben burd
Reply to  AMC
3 January 2021 11:36 am

of course you would!