At this time of year, I like to look ahead and try to predict what will happen in the new year. But first let’s see how I did last year. In 2021 I had four categories: Politics, Covid-19, Town and the Economy. In Politics I predicted the Provincial election result but missed by predicting Emily Chorley would run again. I was right that the Cultural Plan would be ignored. With Covid-19, I was mostly right but I thought we would still be mandated to wear masks indoors. For Town activities, I was mostly right although I thought that the Province would have made a decision on Brookside by now. I correctly predicted no action on Sidbrook, the Tannery property, the Park Theatre, Downtown vitalization and few changes at the Mall. I was right about the economy except that I thought at least one Cannabis shop would be closed by now – all five are still open. You can see my predictions from last year here.
Predictions for 2023
With no elections (except maybe Federal) and Covid now officially being treated the same as flu has always been treated, my two categories are: 1) what will happen in Town with the new Council and 2) the Economy: will there be a recession and how bad will inflation be?
- Once again, there will be no action with several dormant properties: The tannery, Sidbrook and Brookside. The Town may be offered Brookside but will not buy it because of the high price.
- The Beach will be fully open but not as crowded because of expensive parking
- Council will change its governance to Standing Committees instead of Coordinators and will have fewer advisory committees.
- The Sleeping Cabins (Tiny homes?) initiative will not happen in Cobourg. Homelessness will continue to be a concern but another affordable/rental housing project will be proposed.
- The Town’s web site will be re-designed with the goal of making it easier to find stuff. But without dedicated staff to keep it updated, this will not help. Meanwhile, you can find some information more easily here.
- The budget will reflect inflation so taxes will increase more than 6%
- There will be no action coming from the Cultural Plan, there will be no Downtown Vitalization effort although there may be CIP funds given out.
- Harbour repairs will not be completed but work will proceed slowly
- Parking downtown will be a major issue with some existing lots being developed for condos.
- The Transit system will stick with on-demand instead of a fixed route.
- We will once again have a Sandcastle Festival
- There will be no major changes at the Mall – but I wonder about the viability of the Cinema there – some days they are closed.
- Inflation will peak at around 7% but will stay there for several months.
- There will be a recession in Q1 2023
- Shortages of staff will ease in mid 2023 as the recession bites.
- House prices will drop a little but not catastrophically (see the latest here)
- At the risk of being wrong again, it’s likely that at least one Cannabis store will close.
Of course, world events like the war in Ukraine will occupy a lot of our attention.
And for entertainment, be sure to visit this site. See “Featured events” for a list of upcoming major one time events and the “calendar” page for links to sites with more lists.
But whatever happens locally, this site and other local sites will tell you all about it.
And to all my readers, thank you for your kind comments and I wish everyone a Happy New Year.
My earlier predictions
(Date is publish date)
- Major Council Plans for 2022 – 1 January 2022
- Predictions for 2022 – 30 December 2021
- Predictions for 2021 – 31 December 2020
- Predictions for Cobourg 2019 – 30 December 2018
- Predictions for 2018 – 30 December 2017